Friday, December 19, 2008

1st Annual "Select" Bowl Picks from the depths of Sun Valley

Okay so my goal here is to try my hand at picking the bowl games. I want to start off by telling you that I am only picking games that I would (or will) actually make a play on. I do gamble a bit online during the college football season and here is my attempt at giving my advise to any of those whom wish to use it. I read what the experts write and I have gambled enough with my own money to know that they really don't know any more than anyone else when it comes to picking games. I watch the same games they watch so I figured why not give it a shot. I am mostly going to pick games ATS (against the spread) but from time to time I will see an over/under that looks good but I always find it harder to pick total points than picking spreads. You are welcome to review all my picks and tell me what you think. If you need to tell me I am a complete idiot I welcome any criticism. I will give a quick reason for each of my picks. Remember I am only going on what I have seen this year, I do not have any insider info, I don't know anyone affiliated with the BCS or even the NCAA for that matter. So here we go.

Saturday Dec. 20th
EAGLEBANK BOWL:
Wake Forest -3 vs Navy
Here I like WF. I know Navy won this game earlier this year but Skinner and WF are not going to give away a 2nd game to Navy.
TAKE WAKE - GIVE THE POINTS
WIN Wake 29- Navy 19

New Mexico Bowl: LOCK
Fresno St - 2.5 vs Colorado St.
This game is a LOCK. Fresno is simply too good to lose this game. Pat Hill is great in big games and CSU just won't be able to stay with Fresno.
TAKE FRESNO GIVE THE POINTS
LOSS CSU 40- Fresno 35

Majicjack St. Petersburg Bowl:
South Fla -11.5 vs Memphis
This is basically a home game for USF. It's a big number but I like the Bulls
TAKE USF GIVE THE POINTS
WIN USF 41- Memphis 14

Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl:
Arizona -3.5 vs BYU
Are you kidding me?? BYU is getting points? This may actually be a good game but you have to take BYU and the points
TAKE BYU AND THE POINTS
Loss Ari 31- BYU 21


Tuesday December 23rd
SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL:
TCU -2.5 vs Boise St.
This is a tough one, both teams are good and this is going to be a great game. Boise always comes up big in the big games so I am going with them.
TAKE BOISE +2.5
Win TCU 17- Boise 16

Saturday December 27th
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL
North Carolina -1 vs West Virginia
Both these teams fell off a bit late in the season. This looks to be a tight game but in this game I like the speed of White and Devine
TAKE WVU +1
WIN WVU 31 UNC 30

CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL
Florida St. -4.5 vs Wisconsin
Wisc has been a mess since the started big ten play. FSU's Defense got stronger as the year went on.
TAKE FSU GIVE THE 4.5 POINTS
WIN FSU 42 Wisc 13

Monday December 29th
PAPAJOHNS.COM BOWL
Rutgers -7 vs NC State
NC State is not very good - neither is Rutgers but Rutgers is better
TAKE RUTGERS GIVE THE 7 POINTS
Loss RU 29 NCSU 23

VALERO ALAMO BOWL
Missouri -13 vs Northwestern
The wildcats are a good story this year but they don't have the fire power to keep up with Macklin and Daniel....not even for a half.
TAKE MISSOU GIVE THE 13 POINTS
Loss Missou 30 NW 23

Wednesday December 31st
CHICK-FIL-A BOWL
Georgia Tech -3.5 vs LSU - LSU does not have a QB and the Wreck is playing a home game
TAKE GT GIVE THE 3.5 POINTS
Loss LSU 38 GT 3

GAYLORD HOTELS MUSIC CITY BOWL
Boston College -3.5 vs Vandy - Vandy is a joke and have been all year. BC is too good to only give 3.5
TAKE BC GIVE THE 3.5 POINTS
Loss BC 14 Vandy 16

Thursday January 1st
OUTBACK BOWL
Iowa - 3.5 vs South Carolina - Iowa is rolling now and SC is down. SC has a good defense but that's it. Shonn Greene will get his yards and Iowa's D is good too.
TAKE IOWA GIVE THE 3.5 POINTS
Win Iowa 31 South Carolina 10

CAPITAL ONE BOWL
Georgia -7.5 vs Michigan St - MSU was dominated by Penn St in their last game, I like Ringer but Georgia has too much offense. I know UGA has issues on defense but so does MSU and MSU is one dimensional on Offense to boot.
TAKE UGA GIVE THE 7.5 POINTS
Win UGA 24 MSU 12

THE ROSE BOWL
USC - 10 vs Penn St. - This could possibly be the best of all the bowl games and both teams could eaisly be playing for the National Title. That said I think USC will win having the home advantage here but this is going to be closer than some may think. There are good arguments to be made for both teams here. USC will win but not by 10.
TAKE PENN ST +10 POINTS
Loss USC 38 PSU 24

Friday January 2nd
COTTON BOWL
Texas Tech - 5.5 vs Ole Miss -
TT's offense is unstoppable. There is one SEC team that could stop the TT offense but they are playing in the national title game. Ole Miss is decent but this is a mismatch
TAKE TT GIVE THE 5.5 POINTS
Loss Miss 47 TT 34

ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL
Alabama -11 vs Utah
THIS IS A LOCK -Sorry Utah fans but Bama is pissed about the SEC title game and they really don't need the extra motivation. Bama is way too strong here.
TAKE BAMA GIVE THE 11 POINTS
Loss Utah 31 Bama 17

Monday January 5th
TOSTITOS FIESTA BOWL
Texas -9.5 vs Ohio St.
Are we really going to see OSU get their pants pulled down in another bowl game? You bet we are.
TAKE TEXAS GIVE THE 9.5 POINTS
Loss Texas 24 OSU 21

FEDEX BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
Florida - 3 vs Oklahoma
I really don't like this matchup for Oklahoma. It will be great to see Bradford and Tebow going at it but damn, Florida would kill anyone they played right now and I do mean ANYONE.
TAKE FLORIDA GIVE 3 POINTS
Win Fla 24 OU 14